It’s a question that a lot of movie fans are asking, but the answer is likely to be disappointing. Let’s face it John Milius was an original and his politics are not exactly that common in Hollywood. But regardless of what I might think of his politics, when you want a guy to make a hard movie about what an invasion of America would be like, it’s John Milius who’s perfect to do the honors versus say Rob Reiner. But John Milius isn’t on board here. Instead the movie will be written by Carl Ellsworth and directed by Dan Bradley who had worked as a second unit director on a bunch of recent thrillers.

Carl Ellsworth has decent TV fantasy credentials, among them having written the Buffy Halloween episode. But I’m sure the basic idea of who the invaders will be has already been decided at the executive level. And if Hollywood’s track record in the oughts means anything at all, it’ll be the same villains that audiences found compelling in the Manchurian Candidate remake, Jericho, 24 and so on. In other words the big bad “security establishment” or whoever. Of course movies like the Manchurian Candidate remake tanked. And Jericho tanked too, once audiences realized that we were attacked by ourselves. But at the same time it’s all but inevitable that the Red Dawn remake will involve the President and neo-cons and evil Haliburton style corporations seizing power to create some of dictatorship with Blackwater style goons bursting into schools. And of course the target audience for something like Red Dawn will yawn and watch something else instead.

So why the inevitable “We are the enemy” storyline with “clever” Bushisms like “Stay the course” inserted in the Red Dawn remake. For starters who else is there? Yes the old Russia has returned under Putin and is threatening military action over Czechoslovakia. But Hollywood’s understanding of current politics is several years behind schedule and unless it’s the subject of a fundraiser or an LA Times editorial, you can safely assume they don’t have a clue.

There’s a Crescent Moon possibility, John Milius would have done it. But he ain’t in the big chair and MGM isn’t interested in accusations of Islamophobia or controversy. There’s China which has the numbers and whose Communist ideology would make sense in light of the Red part of Red Dawn. But most Hollywood studios are still trying to shove their movies through the silken curtain and building good relationships with China. Foreign sales are big and that means no pissing off the Chinese. Or for that matter anyone else. And there’s the rub. It’s safest to turn out a movie where the enemy are Americans than anyone else, because you want to sell the product abroad. So short of space aliens, it’s right back to Americans again.

“We are going to attack it like any other new market,” said Daniel Taylor, chief financial officer of MGM Inc., (MGM: Research, Estimates), one of Hollywood’s seven big studios. “No matter how you measure it, you’re looking at about more than one billion sets of eyeballs.”

Currently, China permits the U.S. film studios — including Paramount, MGM, Universal, Twentieth Century Fox, Disney, Sony, and Warner Bros. — to bring in a mere 10 films per year, selected under the scrutiny of the government’s culture ministry.

You think that attitude is going to allow MGM to make a movie with the Red Army as the villains? Think again. Muslim terrorists are off limits thanks to Political Correctness, despite that whole war we’re in now. Russia is a long shot and Russia is also a market. So Red Dawn is bound to have the usual Bush as Villain story, fall flat, and then pay off in foreign sales and DVD’s.

Welcome to the New Hollywood, Comrade.